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Volume 5, Number 6 -- February 12, 2008

Gartner Looks at the Big IT Issues for the Next Few Years

Published: February 12, 2008

by Timothy Prickett Morgan

The predictions for the IT market were a little light as 2007 came to a close, but the analysts at Gartner talked to 1,500 chief information officers and other top IT brass and as part of its promotion for its Gartner EXP executive program, where CIOs get to hobnob, the company released some of the results of the surveys. The 1,500 CIOs surveyed represented $132 billion in aggregate IT spending in 33 countries and across 23 different industries.

Right up front, 85 percent of the CIOs polled said that they expected "significant change" in their IT organizations over the next three years, which is saying quite a lot considering the tectonic shifts that have hit the data center in the past decade. And, as has been the case in the past couple of years, CIOs are not being given a lot of extra dough to get new things done and to keep old systems updated and running. Among the companies surveyed by Gartner as 2007 was ending, the aggregate IT budgets of these firms was expected to grow by an average of 3.3 percent, up a smidgen compared to 2007 but certainly not qualifying as a boom in IT spending.

And once again, the priorities of business managers and IT managers show a classic mismatch, and demonstrate how business and IT talk in different languages and have different goals as each year gets under way. Take a look at the top 10 business and IT priorities for 2008 according to the Garter survey:


Top 10 Business Priorities Rank Top 10 Technology Priorities Rank
Business process improvement 1 Business intelligence applications 1
Attracting and retaining new customers 2 Enterprise applications (ERP, CRM and others) 2
Creating new products and services (innovation) 3 Servers and storage technologies 3
Expanding into new markets or geographies 4 Legacy modernization, upgrade or enhancement 4
Reducing enterprise costs 5 Technical infrastructure 5
Improving enterprise workforce effectiveness 6 Security technologies 6
Expanding current customer relationships 7 Networking, voice and data 7
Increasing the use of information and analytics 8 Collaboration technologies 8
Targeting customers and markets more effectively 9 Document management 9
Acquiring new companies and capabilities (mergers and acquisitions) 10 Service-oriented architecture (SOA) and service-oriented business applications (SOBA) 10

"CIOs recognize the importance of IT in 'making the difference' by changing business processes, attracting customers and developing new products and services," explained Mark McDonald, group vice president and head of research for Gartner EXP and one of the authors of a report based on the survey results, called Making the Difference: The 2008 CIO Agenda. "However, they are guarded in their confidence in IT's ability to create results in these areas. Momentum has been building for IT to play a larger role. This year, those expectations are beginning to outpace CIO confidence to deliver. This sharpens CIOs' concentration on IT capabilities like never before."

Of course, being sharp is not as useful as being properly staffed with IT experts who can get IT jobs done. Only 27 percent of the CIOs polled by Gartner say they have the correct number of skilled IT personnel to take on the challenges they face in 2008.

In another Gartner report, the company's prognosticators were in a mood to make some predictions--more than 100 in all made collectively by the analysts at the company. To try to stir up a little business, Gartner gave a little taste of those predictions, which span from 2008 through 2012. Here are the ones that affect real IT operations:

  • By 2009, more than a third of IT organizations will have some kind of environmental criteria as part of their top buying criteria. Basically, green will become an important aspect of the IT buying cycle.
  • By 2010, 75 percent of IT organizations will look at the full environmental impact of the PCs they buy--including energy consumption and carbon dioxide footprint--and will make buying decisions based on which PCs do the least damage.
  • By 2010, end user preferences will decide up to half of all hardware, software, and services acquisitions made by the IT department. About time, really. Home computing has been more sophisticated than office computing for a while--like 15 years.
  • By 2011, early adopters of the idea of buying IT infrastructure as a service will commit 40 percent of their infrastructure budgets to what is essentially renting hardware, either through utilities, cloud computing, or other non-traditional outsourcing approaches.
  • By 2012, 80 percent of commercial software will have some open source components.
  • By 2012, at least a third of spending on application software among businesses will be done through a subscription-based service instead of licensing software for a company's own gear.


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Worldwide IT Spending to Top $3 Trillion in 2007

Goldman Sachs Says IT Spending Will Soften a Bit in 2007

IDC Says Global IT Spending Will Kiss $1.5 Trillion By 2010

The IT Analysts Make Their 2007 Predictions

What 2007 and Beyond Might Have in Store for the System i

Forrester Predicts IT Spending Slowdown in 2007



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Why File-based System Backup is your Best Bet
File-based, Full System Backups Create Advantages Over Image-based Backups

File-based backups used for system recovery have been around for years. And, until recently, file-based meant a long, painstaking, manual process capable of turning off even the most meticulous system administrator. Image-based backups, then, seemed to solve this problem by eliminating the need to deal with recreating partitions, filesystems, volume groups or other details related to the system's storage configuration. In an image-based restore, the storage configuration and data from the original system are restored as a whole to the new system. While this method produced fast recovery times, Linux administrators began to realize disk image backup was more of an alternative method with its own set of problems and limitations than an answer to the challenges of manual, file-based backup.

Limitations to Disk Image Backup
Since disk image backups make no distinction between files and instead backup the hard drive as a group of sectors, bare-metal recovery can be quick and easy by simply rewriting a duplicate image onto a new, identical disk drive. A fine solution, as long as the old system and new system are indeed identical in types, sizes, locations- basically the exact same hardware. Any differences in hardware, however, could render an image backup unusable.

Many system administrators know first-hand the frustration caused by the inflexibility of image-based backup. "What I hear time and time again from clients is that they switched from image-based backup to file-based because of the limitations they encountered when trying to restore a backup onto different hardware." said Manuel Altamirano, Storix Software Director of Sales and Marketing. "Administrators assume they will have access to identical hardware after a disaster or for migration when the time comes. Unfortunately, so often this is not the case. Companies are left with unplanned, excessive downtime."

Even more advanced disk image backup products, that offer alterations to disk partition tables, still fail to understand more advanced and increasingly common storage configuration tools such as the Logical Volume Manager (LVM) or Software RAID (meta-disks) that also must be altered to match new hard disk configuration before data can be restored. In these cases, users must manually alter and build the configuration, usually through command-line utilities and manual editing of configuration files. This also requires users to have knowledge on how to make a system bootable. Rebuilding a system using a disk image backup requires experienced Linux administrators and could take days, weeks or longer resulting in crippling downtime for an organization.

Advances in File-based Backup
File-based backup tools today can automate the process of recording every aspect of a system separately such as disk, filesystem and boot loader configuration while supporting all popular Linux storage configuration tools (i.e. LVM and Software RAID). This detailed backup information is used to greatly simplify the recovery of a failed system from scratch, even if hardware differences are detected on the new system. Furthermore, systems rebuilt from the ground up using file-based backups often times operate better than the original because there is virtually no fragmentation when the restore is completed.

    Flexible recovery based on file-based backup
    File-based backup products have the ability to reconfigure disks, partitions, filesystems and other storage solutions to fit onto new hardware. This ability to adapt a backup to fit new hardware or alter the system's storage configuration is called "Adaptable System Recovery" or ASR. Only backup solutions that gather details about the original system have enough information and flexibility to make the ASR process of altering configuration so simple even novice Linux administrators can quickly perform the recovery. Once new configuration is completed, data files from the backup are easily restored onto the new hardware. Finally, the system is made bootable based on the new hardware.

    The revolutionary adaptability of ASR found in file-based backup tools creates further added value for system administrators because these products can now be used for far more than just reactive tasks such as disaster recovery.
    Applications for ASR:
    Reactive
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    Proactive
  • Provisioning/cloning- a single backup "golden image" can be used to provision different systems, even if disks, adapters or other elements are not the same.
  • Storage software migration- change configuration on the same system for improved performance and availability
  • Hardware migration- install the same system onto newer or virtual systems
    New system backup management features
    Products using file-based system backup have not neglected to consider a system administrator's daily backup responsibilities. These products now incorporate functionality for backup management as well as some of the most advanced features seen in backup and recovery solutions for Linux and AIX. Some advanced features designed to simplify daily backup management for system administrators include:
  • Graphical, Web and Command line interfaces
  • Local and remote backups to disk or tape devices
  • Sequential and random tape autoloader support
  • Support for SAN storage solutions
  • Tivoli Storage Manager integration
  • Oracle database backup support
  • Backup data encryption
  • Multiple compression levels

File-based Backup Solutions Provide Most Bang for the Buck
Inexpensive products exist that combine both file-based backup management and ASR in one program. Look for a file-based system backup product with advanced features like those mentioned above. In turn, regular backup responsibilities such as automatically verifying backups and encrypting backup data will become much easier. Additionally, combined ASR capabilities greatly reduce downtime and required expertise for both reactive (even bare metal) and proactive recovery projects. File-based system backup and recovery solutions are an economical and more comprehensive option than their image-based counterparts.

About the Author
Anne Stobaugh is an independent contractor working with Storix Software to educate Linux and AIX users on the advantages of file-based backup and recovery solutions.
www.storix.com
www.stobaughmarketing.com


Editor: Timothy Prickett Morgan
Contributing Editors: Dan Burger, Joe Hertvik, Kevin Vandever,
Shannon O'Donnell, Victor Rozek, Hesh Wiener, Alex Woodie
Publisher and Advertising Director: Jenny Thomas
Advertising Sales Representative: Kim Reed
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Printer Friendly Version


TABLE OF CONTENTS
Alfresco Puts Out Second Annual Open Source Barometer Report

Rock and Tukwila Were the Stars of ISSCC Last Week

Virtualization Software Player Announcement Roundup

As I See It: Why IT Will Save the Economy

Who Needs a Web Application Firewall?

But Wait, There's More:

Gartner Looks at the Big IT Issues for the Next Few Years . . . Red Hat Gets SAP Mainframe Cert, Hires New Exec in Japan . . . Dell Rejiggers Distribution for Athlon and Opteron Machines . . . The PHP Community Starts the PHP 4 Sunset, Gears Up for PHP 6 . . . IBM Emphasizes Security with OpenID and NSA Commitments . . .

The Linux Beacon

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