tlb
Volume 5, Number 23 -- June 10, 2008

There's Still Money in Operating Systems, But Disruptions Loom

Published: June 10, 2008

by Timothy Prickett Morgan

Before the Internet, the operating system was your computing environment, and even though machines might be networked, the operating system on your desktop and the servers it was connected to were not just the dominant way you did computing, but the way you thought about computing. The advent of the Internet, the World Wide Web HTML abstraction layer, and various scripting languages has, as Netscape correctly foresaw when it went public more than a decade ago, changed not only the way we do computing, but also the way we think about computing.

So you might be thinking, the operating system is not all that important any more. But, according to a recent study of the operating system space put together by the analysts at Gartner, there is still plenty of money to be made in operating systems, and in fact, the size of the pile of cash is getting larger. To put a precise figure on it, spanning desktops, servers, and embedded devices, global operating system sales are projected to rise to $28.9 billion in 2008, up 7.2 percent from the $26.9 billion sales level set in 2007. Gartner reckons that between 2007 and 2012, the operating systems market will grow by a compound annual growth rate of 6.8 percent, pushing sales to $37.5 billion by 2012--nearly 40 percent more money than operating system makers brought in during 2007. This sure doesn't sound like a market in decline, and it just goes to show you that data centers, corporate desktops, and consumers are still buying lots of computers. In fact, only a portion of the population is on the Internet (it is hard to say how many, but it is probably safe to say that only a fifth of the 6.5 billion world population is accessing the Internet via a PC-style computer or a server). There is a lot of room for growth as the developing economies get more of their citizens computers. Even if the per-unit price of an operating system falls (and no one is saying that it will), the volume increase is large enough to make up for the price cuts and still push the overall market upward.

While operating systems are a money and profit maker, that doesn't mean operating systems are not facing disruptions, just as they have since the Internet went commercial somewhere around 1995. "Unix to Linux substitutions, users' behaviors, disruptive technology and anti-piracy endeavors will continue to shape the market and change the market dynamics," explains Matthew Cheung, a senior research analyst at Gartner who put together the latest operating system projections. Cheung says that the Linux platform is the fastest-growing part of the server operating system market and that Linux continues to pressure Unix because it runs on lower cost X64 iron (compared to Itanium or RISC processors with most of the other Unixes) and because there are plenty of Linux experts out there.

Revenues for operating systems are also going to be propped up by Microsoft's more aggressive anti-piracy efforts and the advent of low-cost Windows variants in emerging markets, the combination of which will nonetheless boost sales even though prices are dropping because piracy is so rampant in Asia and other areas of the globe. Gartner is also saying that the end of the line for Windows XP and the first Service Pack for Vista could also create a revenue bump as untold tens of millions of PC users move to the new platform.

The exact effect of some of the disrupters in the operating system space, such as the proliferation of multicore processors and virtualization hypervisors and the advent of software as a service (SaaS) delivery of applications, remains hard to quantify. Multicore chips and hypervisors are forcing all software makers to make their software licensing terms more flexible, and that could have a dramatic impact--and probably downward--on overall operating system sales.


RELATED STORIES

U.S. Drags Down Server Sales in Q1, But Weak Dollar Helps

The Server Biz Enjoys the X64 Upgrade Cycle in Q1

Linux and Windows Server Sales Outpace the Market in Q4

Gartner Gives Annual Report Cards to Server Makers



                     Post this story to del.icio.us
               Post this story to Digg
    Post this story to Slashdot


Sponsored By
STORIX

Why File-based System Backup is your Best Bet
File-based, Full System Backups Create Advantages Over Image-based Backups

File-based backups used for system recovery have been around for years. And, until recently, file-based meant a long, painstaking, manual process capable of turning off even the most meticulous system administrator. Image-based backups, then, seemed to solve this problem by eliminating the need to deal with recreating partitions, filesystems, volume groups or other details related to the system's storage configuration. In an image-based restore, the storage configuration and data from the original system are restored as a whole to the new system. While this method produced fast recovery times, Linux administrators began to realize disk image backup was more of an alternative method with its own set of problems and limitations than an answer to the challenges of manual, file-based backup.

Limitations to Disk Image Backup
Since disk image backups make no distinction between files and instead backup the hard drive as a group of sectors, bare-metal recovery can be quick and easy by simply rewriting a duplicate image onto a new, identical disk drive. A fine solution, as long as the old system and new system are indeed identical in types, sizes, locations- basically the exact same hardware. Any differences in hardware, however, could render an image backup unusable.

Many system administrators know first-hand the frustration caused by the inflexibility of image-based backup. "What I hear time and time again from clients is that they switched from image-based backup to file-based because of the limitations they encountered when trying to restore a backup onto different hardware." said Manuel Altamirano, Storix Software Director of Sales and Marketing. "Administrators assume they will have access to identical hardware after a disaster or for migration when the time comes. Unfortunately, so often this is not the case. Companies are left with unplanned, excessive downtime."

Even more advanced disk image backup products, that offer alterations to disk partition tables, still fail to understand more advanced and increasingly common storage configuration tools such as the Logical Volume Manager (LVM) or Software RAID (meta-disks) that also must be altered to match new hard disk configuration before data can be restored. In these cases, users must manually alter and build the configuration, usually through command-line utilities and manual editing of configuration files. This also requires users to have knowledge on how to make a system bootable. Rebuilding a system using a disk image backup requires experienced Linux administrators and could take days, weeks or longer resulting in crippling downtime for an organization.

Advances in File-based Backup
File-based backup tools today can automate the process of recording every aspect of a system separately such as disk, filesystem and boot loader configuration while supporting all popular Linux storage configuration tools (i.e. LVM and Software RAID). This detailed backup information is used to greatly simplify the recovery of a failed system from scratch, even if hardware differences are detected on the new system. Furthermore, systems rebuilt from the ground up using file-based backups often times operate better than the original because there is virtually no fragmentation when the restore is completed.

    Flexible recovery based on file-based backup
    File-based backup products have the ability to reconfigure disks, partitions, filesystems and other storage solutions to fit onto new hardware. This ability to adapt a backup to fit new hardware or alter the system's storage configuration is called "Adaptable System Recovery" or ASR. Only backup solutions that gather details about the original system have enough information and flexibility to make the ASR process of altering configuration so simple even novice Linux administrators can quickly perform the recovery. Once new configuration is completed, data files from the backup are easily restored onto the new hardware. Finally, the system is made bootable based on the new hardware.

    The revolutionary adaptability of ASR found in file-based backup tools creates further added value for system administrators because these products can now be used for far more than just reactive tasks such as disaster recovery.
    Applications for ASR:
    Reactive
  • Disaster Recovery- restore systems in minutes after a crash, even if hardware is not the same as the original
    Proactive
  • Provisioning/cloning- a single backup "golden image" can be used to provision different systems, even if disks, adapters or other elements are not the same.
  • Storage software migration- change configuration on the same system for improved performance and availability
  • Hardware migration- install the same system onto newer or virtual systems
    New system backup management features
    Products using file-based system backup have not neglected to consider a system administrator's daily backup responsibilities. These products now incorporate functionality for backup management as well as some of the most advanced features seen in backup and recovery solutions for Linux and AIX. Some advanced features designed to simplify daily backup management for system administrators include:
  • Graphical, Web and Command line interfaces
  • Local and remote backups to disk or tape devices
  • Sequential and random tape autoloader support
  • Support for SAN storage solutions
  • Tivoli Storage Manager integration
  • Oracle database backup support
  • Backup data encryption
  • Multiple compression levels

File-based Backup Solutions Provide Most Bang for the Buck
Inexpensive products exist that combine both file-based backup management and ASR in one program. Look for a file-based system backup product with advanced features like those mentioned above. In turn, regular backup responsibilities such as automatically verifying backups and encrypting backup data will become much easier. Additionally, combined ASR capabilities greatly reduce downtime and required expertise for both reactive (even bare metal) and proactive recovery projects. File-based system backup and recovery solutions are an economical and more comprehensive option than their image-based counterparts.

About the Author
Anne Stobaugh is an independent contractor working with Storix Software to educate Linux and AIX users on the advantages of file-based backup and recovery solutions.
www.storix.com
www.stobaughmarketing.com


Editor: Timothy Prickett Morgan
Contributing Editors: Dan Burger, Joe Hertvik, Kevin Vandever,
Shannon O'Donnell, Victor Rozek, Hesh Wiener, Alex Woodie
Publisher and Advertising Director: Jenny Thomas
Advertising Sales Representative: Kim Reed
Contact the Editors: To contact anyone on the IT Jungle Team
Go to our contacts page and send us a message.

Sponsored Links

Bytware:  The power of McAfee with award-winning StandGuard Anti-Virus for Linux
COMMON:  Join us at the annual 2009 conference, April 26 - 30, in Reno, Nevada
NowWhatJobs.net:  NowWhatJobs.net is the resource for job transitions after age 40


 

IT Jungle Store Top Book Picks

Getting Started with PHP for i5/OS: List Price, $59.95
The System i RPG & RPG IV Tutorial and Lab Exercises: List Price, $59.95
The System i Pocket RPG & RPG IV Guide: List Price, $69.95
The iSeries Pocket Database Guide: List Price, $59.00
The iSeries Pocket Developers' Guide: List Price, $59.00
The iSeries Pocket SQL Guide: List Price, $59.00
The iSeries Pocket Query Guide: List Price, $49.00
The iSeries Pocket WebFacing Primer: List Price, $39.00
Migrating to WebSphere Express for iSeries: List Price, $49.00
iSeries Express Web Implementer's Guide: List Price, $59.00
Getting Started with WebSphere Development Studio for iSeries: List Price, $79.95
Getting Started With WebSphere Development Studio Client for iSeries: List Price, $89.00
Getting Started with WebSphere Express for iSeries: List Price, $49.00
WebFacing Application Design and Development Guide: List Price, $55.00
Can the AS/400 Survive IBM?: List Price, $49.00
The All-Everything Machine: List Price, $29.95
Chip Wars: List Price, $29.95


 
The Four Hundred
The Power Systems M15 and M25 Versus Their Predecessors

Forget About Platforms, Let's Talk About Jobs

Zend Taps System i-PHP Guru, Pushes the i Platform

As I See It: Citizen CEO

Imtech Buys Reseller Real Solutions for U.K. Expansion

Four Hundred Stuff
Data Quality Tool from AMB Now Supports i and z/OS Platforms

Magic Targets Rich Internet Apps, SaaS with G5

DB Technology Cuts the Paper Chase for AS/400 Shops

NGS Launches SaaS Initiative to Deliver BI as a Service

IBM Updates Secure Perspective Tool

Big Iron
U.S. Drags Down Server Sales in Q1, But Weak Dollar Helps

Top Mainframe Stories From Around the Web

Chats, Webinars, Seminars, Shows, and Other Happenings

Four Hundred Guru
Exploring the DB2 for i5/OS Extensions to the PHP Language

Use Parameter Markers in SQL Persistent Stored Modules

Admin Alert: Quick Audits for i5/OS Backups

System i PTF Guide
May 31, 2008: Volume 10, Number 22

May 24, 2008: Volume 10, Number 21

May 17, 2008: Volume 10, Number 20

May 10, 2008: Volume 10, Number 19

May 3, 2008: Volume 10, Number 18

April 26, 2008: Volume 10, Number 17

The Windows Observer
Microsoft Kicks Off TechEd 2008 with Gates and Previews

Dynamics AX 2009 ERP Suite Comes to Market

U.S. Drags Down Server Sales in Q1, But Weak Dollar Helps

Servers, Storage, Laptops and Weak Dollars Buoy Dell in Q1

Server Branding 101: Big Name, Big Game?

The Unix Guardian
AMD Finishes Off Quad Cores with Budapest Opterons

U.S. Drags Down Server Sales in Q1, But Weak Dollar Helps

Looks Like Unisys Is Reselling Sun's X4600 Opteron Boxes

Themis Partners with Sun to Make Sparc T2 Blade Server

Server Branding 101: Big Name, Big Game?

Four Hundred Monitor
Four Hundred Monitor's
Full iSeries Events Calendar

THIS ISSUE SPONSORED BY:

nuBridges
Storix
Egenera
Roaring Penguin
Vibrant Technologies


Printer Friendly Version


TABLE OF CONTENTS
How's Red Hat Enterprise Linux 5 Doing?

AMD Finishes Off Quad Cores with Budapest Opterons

Forget About Platforms, Let's Talk About Jobs

As I See It: Citizen CEO

Looks Like Unisys Is Reselling Sun's X4600 Opteron Boxes

But Wait, There's More:

NOAA Predicts the 2008 Hurricane Season to Be an Active One . . . There's Still Money in Operating Systems, But Disruptions Loom . . . SPEC Members Start on Energy Benchmark for Web Servers . . . IBM Releases Lotus Notes/Domino 8.5 Beta . . . Imtech Buys Reseller Real Solutions for U.K. Expansion . . .

The Linux Beacon

BACK ISSUES





 
Subscription Information:
You can unsubscribe, change your email address, or sign up for any of IT Jungle's free e-newsletters through our Web site at http://www.itjungle.com/sub/subscribe.html.

Copyright © 1996-2008 Guild Companies, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Guild Companies, Inc., 50 Park Terrace East, Suite 8F, New York, NY 10034

Privacy Statement