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Volume 1, Number 27 -- July 22, 2004

But Wait, There's More


Sun Taps Youngjohns for Subscription Sales

As part of Sun Microsystems' financial results announcements this week, president and chief operating officer Jonathan Schwartz announced that he has made two more executive changes as he transforms Sun from a company that sells products to one that sells subscriptions.

Schwartz has tapped Robert Youngjohns, who has headed the global sales organization at Sun as an executive vice president, and is largely responsible for getting Sun oriented for selling solutions rather than point products, to become executive vice president of strategic development and financing. The job will entail turning the idea of creating subscription-based products--hardware, software, services--into a reality. Before attaining the top sales job at Sun a few years ago, Youngjohns was general manager of Sun's European operations. Before joining Sun in 1995, he spent 15 years at IBM.

Schwartz said that Bob MacRitchie, who has been a Sun executive since 1989, and recently has been tapped to manage the merged Professional Services and Technical Services units into a single Client Services unit, now takes over the new Global Sales and Client Services unit.

IBM Boosts Earnings As Sales Come In a Bit Shy

Given the choice between having lower sales and higher profits or higher sales and lower profits, Wall Street would prefer that any vendor choose profits. And that is what IBM's new chief financial officer, Mark Loughridge, said Big Blue did in the second quarter. IBM reported revenues of $23.2 billion, up 7 percent compared with this time last year, and net earnings of just under $2 billion, up 16.6 percent.

Despite tough product transitions in the Power-based iSeries and pSeries server lines and stagnant software sales (like so many other software players in the second quarter), IBM had decent hardware sales and continues to wring costs out of all aspects of its businesses (particularly services) to drive profits. But IBM clearly has its eyes on turning its $1 billion investment in the consulting business of PricewaterhouseCoopers into a powerhouse. Loughridge finished his presentation to Wall Street analysts by reminding everyone that IBM is chasing after a market it calls Business Process Transformation Services (BPTS), which he said accounted for $1.4 billion in sales in the second quarter for IBM and which is growing at 40 percent. Strictly speaking, BPTS is only partially in the IT business, as it seeks to outsource business processes, engineer new systems, consult with customers on their business strategies, and monitor the performance of companies as they try to reach their goals. Taken to their extreme, the BPTS services that IBM wants to sell effectively turn Big Blue into a chief operating officer for hire.

But until BPTS grows to become the dominant service that IBM offers (if it ever does), IBM has to continue to generate sales and make money by pushing hardware, software, and more traditional services such as IT outsourcing, hosting, and systems integration.

In the second quarter, IBM's hardware sales were $7.42 billion, up 12 percent as reported and 10 percent at constant currency. (The weakness of the U.S. dollar hasn't helped IBM as much in hardware as it has in other units, it seems.) The Systems & Technology unit, IBM's main hardware group, which is comprised of the former Systems Group (which makes servers and storage) and Technology Group (which makes chips and used to make disks), had sales of $4.2 billion, according to Loughridge, and posted over $600 million in profits--about a third of IBM's total for the quarter. Those profits were unquestionably driven by strong sales of the company's zSeries mainframes, which posted a 44 percent gain in sales and a very high 75 percent gain in the aggregate MIPS shipped over the second quarter of 2003. Loughridge said that 70 percent of the MIPS shipped in the quarter were for new workloads, which means not traditional COBOL and CICS applications, and which increasingly means Linux-based infrastructure workloads that mainframe shops are consolidating from out in their networks back into their mainframes.

The iSeries line was hammered, with a 28 percent decline in sales, as customers more or less stopped buying iSeries machines as they awaited the Power5-based eServer i5 machines, which started shipping June 11. Sales of the i5 line were impacted at the high end, as customers awaited the new 16-way Model 570 machines announced on July 13. Loughridge said that while sales of older iSeries boxes were down substantially, i5 sales were on plan.

The pSeries Unix server line was just starting its transition to the Power5 machines on July 13, but sales were nonetheless down by 3 percent as some customers at the end of the quartered caught wind of the Power5 announcement and deferred acquisitions. Loughridge said that sales of high-end systems continued to grow "in the double digits," which stands to reason, since no one is expecting the 64-way "Squadron" Power5 servers until late September or early October.

When Apple reported its financial results yesterday, it zinged IBM yet again for not getting enough PowerPC 970 "G5" processors out the door from its 300 mm wafer chip plant in East Fishkill, New York. When questioned about this, Loughridge said that IBM had doubled the yield at the plant from the first to the second quarter, and was on its way to double the yield again in the third quarter. He said that the ramp curve at the chip plant was exactly what IBM had planned, albeit pushed out somewhere between one and two quarters. While Apple continues to complain about G5 supplies, Loughridge assured Wall Street and customers today by saying that IBM was not supply constrained for its own Power5 chips. He also said that he believed IBM is pretty much through the transition with the i5, having launched the Model 570s, and is well on its way with the eServer p5 machines.

The xSeries server sales, which use a mix of Intel and Advanced Micro Devices processors, were up 18 percent, with growth across the product line. Loughridge singled out IBM's BladeCenter blade servers, saying that these boxes were bringing some customers into the IBM fold for the first time. Storage sales were up 5 percent, with midrange disk arrays up 7 percent and low-cost FastT arrays growing by 36 percent. IBM's tape business grew by 13 percent, the fourth quarter of double-digit growth for this line. IBM's Personal Systems unit, which sells notebooks, PCs, workstations, and printers, booked sales of $3.2 billion, up 16 percent. IBM said that the unit was profitable, too, bringing $27 million to the bottom line.

Despite the mostly good news on hardware, software and services continue to be the twin engines of profit and revenue for Big Blue. Software sales were flat at $3.5 billion, with operating system sales down 2 percent at constant currency, thanks in large part to slumping iSeries sales. Middleware sales were flat, with sales of middleware on mainframe and iSeries systems up 2 percent and down 3 percent on Unix, Windows, and Linux systems. Sales were down a few points in IBM's Lotus, Tivoli, and Rational units, while WebSphere sales were up 2 percent. "Consistent with many of our pure-play competitors, we encountered a difficult sales environment," said Loughridge. "The number of large deals was down from the past quarters, and there were a significant number of deferrals at the end of the quarter." He said, however, that he believed the majority of those transactions remained opportunities for the third quarter.

The Global Services unit raked in $11.3 billion in sales during the second quarter, up 7 percent as reported, but only 2 percent at constant currency, reflecting the large amount of overseas sales this part of IBM has, and the weakness of the U.S. dollar in many foreign companies. IBM had $10.6 billion in new services signings in the quarter and increased its backlog to $118 billion. The signings were almost a carbon copy of the short-term and long-term signings that IBM had in the first quarter, and were down a bit from the second quarter of 2003. Loughridge said that IBM improved the gross profit margin across its services businesses by 7 percent in the quarter, and that every unit within Global Services contributed to profit improvement.

On a geographic basis, sales were up 2 percent in the Americas region to $9.7 billion. In the Europe/Middle East/Africa region, sales were also up 2 percent in local currencies, but when translated into dollars, back at IBM headquarters in Armonk, New York, EMEA sales were booked at $7.5 billion, up 7 percent. In the Asia/Pacific region, sales were up 13 percent as reported, to $5.2 billion (although up only 6 percent at constant currency). IBM's OEM sales, which are booked in dollars, were up 19 percent, to $701 million.

As for the future, Loughridge said that he did not expect anything different from what his predecessor as CFO, John Joyce, has been saying for several quarters. "We continue to see the IT industry growth around 4 to 5 percent, which is the best it has been since 2000. Customer spending continues to improve, though not uniformly across all segments and regions. This is nothing new. Demand is not entirely predictable or consistent, and it evolves with customer requirements."

StorageTek's New SL8500 Library Supports Up To 300,000 Tape Cartridges

StorageTek has launched a new automated tape library, the Streamline SL8500. The massively scalable SL8500 starts with 64 drives and can be equipped with up to 2,048 drives, with any mixture of StorageTeks' T9840 or T9940 drives, as well as LTO and SDLT tape drives. Robotics can handle between 1,448 and 300,000 cartridges, packed into an "ultra-dense footprint," the Louisville, Colorado, company says. ("Follow the leader, if you can," StorageTek taunts, and it's right: none of its competitors comes close to supporting a quarter of a million tapes. Cartridge capacities for IBM's 3494 and 3584 libraries, which support its 3590 Magstar and LTO drives respectively, top out at 6,240 cartridge slots.) Connectivity on the SL8500 is handled through fast Fibre Channel links, or FICON and ESCON mainframe connectivity, for 9840 and 9940 drives. StorageTek also announced that it has formed an OEM agreement with Sun Microsystems that allows Sun to sell the SL8500 library for its Unix servers.

IDC: Software Piracy Cost Developers $29 Billion in 2003

More than a third of the PC software in use around the world in 2003 was pirated, according to a new survey conducted by IDC for the Business Software Alliance. The survey found that 36 percent of software installed was an illegally made copy, costing developers $29 billion. While $80 billion in software was installed on computers worldwide last year, only $51 billion was legally purchased, the IDC found.

The IDC broke its findings down by geography, and, not surprisingly, the rate of software piracy was higher in developing markets. Leading the way for software pirates was Eastern Europe, where 71 percent of all PC software was pirated. Latin America and the Middle East and Africa followed, with 63 percent and 56 percent piracy rates respectively. Fifty-three percent of all software installed in Asia-Pacific last year was pirated, and only 36 percent Western Europe's software were illegal copies, although Western Europe cost developers the most, with a $9.6 billion loss due to piracy. If you live in North America, you can feel good knowing that only 23 percent of software here is pirated, and it cost developers only $7.2 billion, $300 million less than piracy cost developers in the Asia-Pacific region. IDC based its findings on 5,600 interviews in 15 countries.

IBM to Acquire J2EE Business Intelligence Developer Alphablox

IBM last week announced its intention to acquire Alphablox, a privately held developer of business intelligence software based in Mountain View, California. Alphablox offers a series of reusable components (called "blox") designed to be embedded into existing applications, thereby making it easier to provide business analysis without hiring expensive programmers. In addition to the six blox already created by Alphablox, the company's offerings include a J2EE-based development framework, which enables non-programmers to assemble the analytic applications that are then deployed on standard Java Web application servers. IBM currently offers DB2 Alphablox for Unix and Windows, and says it plans to further integrate the technology with DB2 Data Warehouse, WebSphere Business Integration Monitor, the Rational toolset, and WebSphere Portal and IBM Workplace applications. Whether the Alphablox technology will be made available to DB2/400 is not known; IBM had not responded at press time. Financial details of the transaction were not announced, and the acquisition is expected to close later this month.

Aberdeen Reveals Supply Chain Myths

In the context of supply chain operations, analysts at Aberdeen Group have something they call the Fulfillment Solution Framework, which is designed to sort through technologies that are relevant to fulfillment operations. In explaining what the framework accomplishes, Aberdeen focuses on four interrelated areas--coordinating, planning, executing, and analyzing--and warns that concentration in anything less than all four is a recipe for disaster because each impacts the others. In other words, failure in one area brings failure to all. Tom Ryan, vice president of value chain research at Aberdeen, commented last week in the company newsletter about several myths that he believes are being promoted by "magic bullet" solutions. If you are hearing these talked about around the meeting table, it's time to raise a red flag.

Myth: Improved supply chain visibility diminishes the requirement for excellent planning. Reality: Better supply chain transparency will help identify operational glitches and recurring problems. However, because visibility systems compare actual events against plans, if plans are amiss, the result will be a flood of exception alerts that will cause chaos.

Myth: Distribution center efficiency is all about execution. Reality: Companies invest substantial sums in distribution center execution systems to improve productivity, which leads to repeating inefficient processes. By running frequent review processes and supporting technology to identify when the facility is going out of kilter, it is possible to re-evaluate work areas and re-slot products as justified by potential productivity gains.

Sponsored By
GEEKCORPS

Geekcorps \gek ' kor\ n.

1. A US-based non-profit organization that places international technical volunteers in developing nations. We contribute to local IT projects while transferring technical skills needed to keep projects moving after our volunteers have returned home.

2. The opportunity to be immersed in another culture while using your technical knowledge to assist emerging economies.

www.geekcorps.org.


Editor: Timothy Prickett Morgan
Managing Editor: Shannon Pastore
Contributing Editors: Dan Burger, Joe Hertvik, Kevin Vandever,
Shannon O'Donnell, Victor Rozek, Hesh Wiener, Alex Woodie
Publisher and Advertising Director: Jenny Thomas
Advertising Sales Representative: Kim Reed
Contact the Editors: To contact anyone on the IT Jungle Team
Go to our contacts page and send us a message.


THIS ISSUE
SPONSORED BY:

Hewlett-Packard
Guild Companies
Sun Microsystems
Stalker Software
Geekcorps


BACK ISSUES

TABLE OF
CONTENTS
Sun Reveals Details on APL Partnership with Fujitsu

Sun Profits Nicely in Q4, Thanks to Microsoft Settlement

OpsWare Opens Up and Extends with 4.5 Release

Mad Dog 21/21: To Hive and Hive Not

But Wait, There's More


The Four Hundred
More on the July 13 i5 Announcements

IBM Boosts Earnings As Sales Come In a Bit Shy

Dubious Achievement: iSeries Gets Some Attention From Hackers

The Linux Beacon
IBM Launches Power5-Based eServer p5 Linux Servers

Red Hat's Minor Restatement Shakes Up Wall Street

IBM Raises Rates on Server Financing Deals

The Windows Observer
Windows Server Boss Calls WebSphere a 'Marketecture'

As Support Winds Down, Windows NT Users Are Fair Game

OpsWare Opens Up and Extends with 4.5 Release


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